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[News] Measuring the Immeasurable in Free Software

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Measuring the Immeasurable: Researching Community Health

,----[ Quote ]
| Jono Bacon, community manager for Ubuntu, puts forward some of his ideas for 
| a decidedly analytical approach to assessing the growth and trends in the 
| community. He postulates that just because community management by nature is 
| a "soft science," doesn't mean that there aren't good markers of where the 
| community is headed buried in readily available hard data. It can stretch far 
| beyond the number of downloads of any given release, and delve into bug 
| report statistics, and feature requests.      
`----

http://ostatic.com/173207-blog/measuring-the-immeasurable-researching-community-health

"There's a lot of Linux out there -- much more than Microsoft generally signals
publicly -- and their customers are using it..."

                --Paul DeGroot, a Directions On Microsoft analyst.


Recent:

Is Linux’s Marketshare Closer to 20% Or More?

,----[ Quote ]
| What I want to suggest is that the fact that you cannot prove what the
| marketshare is, combined with general perceptions that computers are Windows,
| combined with Microsoft and Apple’s PR all make it perfectly possible that
| Linux’s marketshare is, in fact, closer to 15% or 30%, making it possibly
| more than the Mac. After all, a lot seems to suggest that the Mac is weak
| outside the US and Linux has cought on more outside the US. But hey, that is
| just a guess too!
|
| The fact is, we have no real evidence and no way of getting real evidence,
| so, until we get some good evidence, we shouldn’t just assume no one uses
| Linux.
`----

http://www.linuxloop.com/news/2008/08/26/is-linuxs-marketshare-closer-to-20-or-more/


This is the Year of the Linux Desktop Breakout

,----[ Quote ]
| Declaring victory for the Linux desktop at the end of the day will based upon
| looking at market penetration of Linux based clients vs. Windows and other
| operating systems. I believe this is still the best measure but we may
| finally be able to declare this year the breakout of the Linux desktop.
|
| When looking at operating system software adoption it is important to look at
| trends and not a single break through event that will signal that “we have
| made it.” It is kind of like economic forecasting – you look at a lot of
| leading indicators to decide whether we are heading towards an expansion or a
| recession; inflation, interest rates, productivity, employment rates, etc. It
| is worth applying this logic when looking at the Linux desktop. Based on just
| a cursory glance of news this week it is clear that all leading indicators
| suggest a significant expansion on the horizon.
`----

http://www.linux-foundation.org/weblogs/jzemlin/2008/08/26/this-is-the-year-of-the-linux-desktop-breakout/


Free Geek Chicago needs your help!

,----[ Quote ]
| When FreeGeek/Chicago first opened in October, 2005, we hoped it would
| fill an important role in the Chicago nonprofit technology world.
|
| Since then, we have sold dozens of $50 computers, served over 150
| volunteers, and responsibly recycled several tons of electronics.
`----

http://vault.icstars.org/node/1078


Linux’s Market Share: Is There Any Way To Know?

,----[ Quote ]
| Canonical is claiming that 11% of businesses use Ubuntu. (If that is the
| case, just imagine how many use Red Hat or Suse.) Gartner says that Linux’s
| market share is 4%, putting it about even with the Mac. And Context says that
| almost 3% of PCs sold in the UK have Linux pre-installed.
|
| [...]
|
| Short of every Linux distro calling home, which I hope will never happen,
| there may never be a way to know how many Linux users there are. Perhaps the
| downloads of some cross-platform application would give a rough idea, but
| that application would have to be something that a Linux user, a Mac user,
| and a Windows user would want equally. If anyone has a better idea, I would
| love to hear it.
`----

http://www.linuxloop.com/news/2008/08/14/linuxs-market-share-is-there-any-way-to-know/


Netbooks A Linux Stronghold?

,----[ Quote ]
| For years, backers of open-source software have hoped to push Microsoft out
| of its dominant position in desktops and laptops. Windows-powered personal
| computers account for more than 90% of unit sales,. Linux 4%, Gartner says.
`----

http://ca.biz.yahoo.com/ibd/080807/tech.html?.v=1


Canonical To VARs: 11% of U.S. Businesses Use Ubuntu Linux

,----[ Quote ]
| In an effort to rally solutions providers around Ubuntu Linux, Canonical is
| telling resellers that 11 percent of U.S. businesses already run Ubuntu.
`----

http://www.thevarguy.com/2008/08/10/canonical-to-vars-11-of-us-businesses-use-ubuntu-linux/


Why sharing matters more than marketshare to GNU/Linux

,----[ Quote ]
| In a recent article, Ryan Cartwright argued that free software isn’t playing
| the “same game” as proprietary software is. He’s right—but that begs the
| question: what game is GNU/Linux playing?
|
| Thirty years of proprietary software thinking have conditioned us to think
| that marketshare is a critical measure of success, and so we’ve convinced
| ourselves that we have to “win” against Windows in order to “succeed”. But
| this is simply not true. GNU/Linux can be a very great success even if it
| never achieves more than 1% of the installations in the world. The reason is
| the difference between “power” and “freedom”.
`----

http://www.freesoftwaremagazine.com/columns/sharing_matters_more_than_market_share_linux


"We are implementing Linux in large govt projects across the country"

,----[ Quote ]
| Infact, Linux is continuously improving its position. This can be proved by
| an IDC report which says that in June 2006 Microsoft had 68 percent of the
| marketshare and Linux had 21 percent whereas in 2005, Microsoft had 70
| percent and Linux had 11 percent.
`----         ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

http://dqweek.ciol.com/content/Columns/107072002.asp


The World According to Linux

,----[ Quote ]
| How many Linux users are there in the world? 5,000? 5,000,000? 50,000,000? No
| one is really sure. Linux users aren't forced to register their operating
| system with any corporation; Linux users are free to install and use Linux
| without anyone ever being the wiser. And what about all of the people who
| don't even realize they're using Linux? Is Linux running your PDA? Smart
| Phone? GPS? TiVO? Tablet? Router? Wrist watch? Car? Is Linux lurking inside
| all of your electronic gadgets? Probably not, but it's turning up more and
| more these days.
|
| [...]
|
| According to our statistics, 96.4% of computer users are running Linux. Whoa!
| It looks like Linux has completely claimed the market. 0.6% of computer users
| are running Apple; hmm, but I thought the Apple market share was improving?
| Oh, and funny enough, 3% of computer users are running Windows. Wait a
| minute! These stats are completely biased, right? Well, I hope you're getting
| the point.
`----

http://linuxhow2.com/Feature_Articles/The_World_According_to_Linux.html


Asia Pacific Digital Content Creators and Broadcasters Turn to Autodesk's
Linux-based Solutions

,----[ Quote ]
| Over a dozen broadcasters and post-production facilities in the Asia
| Pacific region have recently embraced Autodesk, Inc.'s visual effects,
| editing/finishing and digital color-grading products running on the
| Linux operating system.
|
| [...]
|
| In its China Linux 2006-2010 Forecast and Analysis report, market
| research firm IDC estimates that China's Linux market will grow
| at a compound annual growth rate of 34 percent from 2006 to 2010.
| IDC also forecasts that by 2008, Linux-based personal computers
|                                  ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
| (PCs) will account for more than 9 percent of PC unit shipments
|                        ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
| in Asia Pacific.
`----

http://www.dmnnewswire.com/articles/viewarticle.jsp?id=110125


Dell leads the Linux workstation market

,----[ Quote ]
| So about 15% of the workstation market is comprised of Linux machines -- far
| ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
| more than the barely traceable number of Linux desktop computers. Oddly, all
| workstation manufacturers seem to have grown in chorus. "No one workstation
| vendor seems to have benefited dramatically more or less with the growth of
| Linux, though (anecdotally) white boxes would presumably have a much higher
| penetration of Linux.
`----

http://www.thejemreport.com/mambo/content/view/362/


Survey Says … Linux Desktop Is Ever More Popular

,----[ Quote ]
| The first thing we can say about the Linux desktop in 2007 is that there are
| more users than ever. The Linux Foundation 2006 survey had fewer than 10,000
| people signing in. This year more than 20,000 Linux desktop users reported
| in.
`----

http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1895,2235654,00.asp


,----[ Quote ]
| Okay, now lets tie this all back in together. Novell claimed several months
| back in a video ad that Desktop Linux users accounted for upwards of
| 30,000,000 different people. That's 30 million. Recent statements made by
| some Novell representatives indicate that they expect there are upwards of
| 50,000,000 Desktop Linux users. Microsoft has never contested the number of
| Desktop Linux users, and if anything the deal Microsoft signed with Novell
| was tacit agreement that Microsoft believed those numbers to be accurate.
`----

http://zerias.blogspot.com/2007/11/desktop-os-vista-vs-linux.html


Linux Users Base More Than doubled Over Last One Year: Survey

,----[ Quote ]
| The number of Linux users has more than doubled over the last one year, says
| a new survey by DesktopLinux.com. The survey also said Ubuntu remains their
| Linux distribution of choice.
`----

http://www.sda-india.com/sda_india/psecom,id,22,site_layout,sdaindia,news,19940,p,0.html


Survey: Desktop Linux use grows

,----[ Quote ]
| DesktopLinux.com, which is a Web site devoted to, obviously, desktop Linux,
| has finished a survey that found more than a doubling of Linux desktop users
| in the past year.
`----

http://weblog.infoworld.com/techwatch/archives/013576.html


Desktop Linux on the Rise, Linux Foundation Reports

,----[ Quote ]
| For starters, almost 20,000 self-selected users filled out this year's survey
| compared with fewer than 10,000 in 2006's survey.
|
| [...]
|
| In those businesses and organizations that have deployed Linux desktops, 39.5
| percent are running Linux on more than half of their machines.
`----

http://www.eweek.com/article2/0,1759,2220549,00.asp?kc=EWRSS03119TX1K000059
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