__/ [ 7 ] on Monday 25 December 2006 19:09 \__
> Linux predictions for 2007
> --------------------------
>
>
> At a glance guess into 2007.
>
> 1. Micoshaft will allocate resources to roll their own distro
> to dump Novel. Why pay $300 million for Linux when you can
> roll your own for $3 million? The whole point about novel was to get
> other dumb companies to suck up to micoshaft for money.
Make that 2010? There's also the possibility of Open Sourcing Windows. Sun
goes in this direction and the embedded Windows platform is now "look inside
but don't touch", IIRC.
> 2. Linux desktop features races past windopz for good.
This happened quite a while ago. Visually-speaking:
Looking Glass on Ubuntu
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EjQ4Nza34ak
Beryl 3D Window Layer Plugin
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PpIhoLzDOTY
Stability, security, powerful tools... games are not a feature of the
platform and it's only game-makers who fit/tailor their games to a platform,
not vice versa. Same with applications, but that'll certainly continue to
change in 2007.
> 3. Linux products and apps cut deep gouges into windopz products and
> market.
> Die hard windopz developers begin to panic because they can't win
> while those that switch to open source models early begin to prosper.
>
> 4. Linux begins the process to wave goodby to windopz compatibility
> because micoshaft have switched to distributing Linux
> and the need to support micoshaft legacy products
> becomes an ever distant requirement.
>
> 5. Linux users and management begin to eliminate DRM and pay per seat
> software in favour of open source programs and open to business
> extensible digital formats that allow businesses to enhance
> interoperability and start adding and extending formats for
> their own purposes without having to rely on controlling
> interests and third parties.
>
> 6. Next generation Linux systems and ideas begin to emerge.
"Next generation" means nothing. It's like "Web 2.0", or choosing to number
Linux kernels/versions differently. As someone, somewhere, some time has
said, if Linux had a marketing department, it would be at version 10 now,
not 2.x. Apple has been stuck at 10 for quite some time. Microsoft escaped
from 12 to 2007 (Office), for marketing purposes of course. Same with
codenames replacing year numbers... Mandriva being the ones to carry the
legacy.
> 7. Embedded Linux builds computers cheaper than $100 laptop.
>
> 8. Linux games becomes the only way to make next generation games work.
OpenGL-accelerated desktops come to mind (DirectX flip mode is moot). This
can also assist, augment and complement design, e.g. Autodesk AutoCAD, Maya
3D... among other things of course...
> 9. Embedded Linux becomes the only way to make next generation gadgets
> work.
Well, that's your field of expertise, I guess, so you should know.
> 10. Web portals begin eliminating poor performance windopz code fragments
> to switch to open source and mixing and mashing of snippets of
> open source code to make deliverables happen more quickly.
The Web is /already/ an Open Source turf. Sites which ran Windows (probably
because some people assume it integrates better with their flaky desktop...
same with handhelds, for the sake of the argument) have moved to Linux...
even MicrosoftWatch.com.
> 11. Windopz will finally be seen as an anomoly that needs to be corrected
> by management noting that micoshaft is distributing SuSE Linux.
> Managment will begin eliminating the windopz anomoly by buying into
> Linux products and services big time - so get ready for 2007 boys and
> gals, this is it!!!!!!
What about all the SPAM? An article that I read yesterday argues that it
ain't gonna stop for another 5-10 years (at the least). I know that Europe
has begun an initiative to end or at least combat SPAM. Perhaps in due time
the intersection between this project and the rapid migration of governments
to Linux will be understood. Then, the solution will be a forced migration
to Linux. Microsoft Office can still be used, on the Win32 partition, with
the network cable unplugged. Policemen with clubs may ensure this law is
honoured. Well, we can dream, can't we...?
--
~~ Kind greetings and happy holidays!
Roy S. Schestowitz | Disclaimer: no SCO code used to generate this post
http://Schestowitz.com | GNU/Linux | PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
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