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Re: Novell's Messman: Only 2 Distros Will Survive

__/ [ ray ] on Thursday 23 March 2006 15:18 \__

> On Wed, 22 Mar 2006 16:56:17 +0000, Roy Schestowitz wrote:
> 
>> http://www.vnunet.com/vnunet/news/2152466/novell-predicts-two-unix
>> 
>> ,----[ Quote ]
>> | Novell boss Jack Messman is predicting that the open source operating
>> | system market will be reduced to two dominant suppliers in the next
>> | three to five years: Novell and Red Hat.
>> `----
> 
> That would be one man's guess. Mine would be that several will remain. I
> see at least a half dozen major players.

...Depends on your define survival (e.g. minimal number of machines in
operation) and what timespan you use as a reference. It is almost impossible
to make predictions five years ahead (the 5-year rule), let alone a decade.
Look at Google and the progress between 1998 (garage) and 2003 (IPO).

Best wishes,

Roy

-- 
Roy S. Schestowitz      | Useful fact: close elevator button = Express Mode
http://Schestowitz.com  |    SuSE Linux     ¦     PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
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