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Re: the iPhone has no chance ..

__/ [ [H]omer ] on Tuesday 01 May 2007 01:40 \__

> Verily I say unto thee, that Doug Mentohl spake thusly:
>> 'There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant
>> market share. No chance.
>> 
>> It's a $500 subsidized item.
>> 
>> They may make a lot of money.
>> 
>> But if you actually take a look at the 1.3 billion phones that get sold,
>> 
>> I'd prefer to have our software in 60% or 70% or 80% of them,
>> 
>> than I would to have 2% or 3%, which is what Apple might get'
>> 
>> http://snipurl.com/1isvr
>>
http://www.usatoday.com/money/companies/management/2007-04-29-ballmer-ceo-forum-usat_N.htm
>> 
>> 
>> translation: ??
> 
> Well first of all he seems to be talking in the future tense, indicating
> that *neither* company currently has that level of market penetration
> (raising the question: who currently *does*?), and secondly the lower
> end of his expectations indicates that he expects the current market
> leader to pretty much continue to lead (his figures sound optimistic).
> 
> Contenders?
> 
> Linux?
> Symbian?
> 
> Another point is that the unsubsidised $500 is only a starting point. If
> Apple's mobile technology takes off at the same rate their DAP
> technology did, you'll see a fairly acute change in the market pretty
> quickly. Ballmer sounds scared though. He always feigns aloofness when
> he thinks he's about to lose.
 
Ballmer only talks about rivals that scare him. Just look at recent
history...

I'd agree with Ballmer this time. The iPhone won't take over, but it will be
Linux, not Windows, that will inherit Symbian's dominant positions. Analysts
say this very consistently. Has Ballmer mentioned mobile Linux in interview?
You bet. The same type of FUD was spewed out...

-- 
                ~~ Best regards

Roy S. Schestowitz      | < http://debian.org >
http://Schestowitz.com  |  GNU is Not UNIX  |     PGP-Key: 0x74572E8E
roy      pts/4                         Tue May  1 02:19 - 02:19  (00:00)    
      http://iuron.com - proposing a non-profit search engine

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